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☆ Why hundreds of U.S. banks may be at risk of failure
▼ + stars: | 2024-05-01 | by ( Andrea Miller | In Dreajmiller | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

Hundreds of small and regional banks across the U.S. are feeling stressed. "You could see some banks either fail or at least, you know, dip below their minimum capital requirements," Christopher Wolfe, managing director and head of North American banks at Fitch Ratings, told CNBC. Consulting firm Klaros Group analyzed about 4,000 U.S. banks and found 282 banks face the dual threat of commercial real estate loans and potential losses tied to higher interest rates. "That means there'll be fewer bank failures. For individuals, the consequences of small bank failures are more indirect.

Persons: Christopher Wolfe, They're, Brian Graham, Graham, Sheila Bair Organizations: Fitch, CNBC, Consulting, Klaros, U.S . Federal Deposit Insurance Corp, FDIC Locations: U.S

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWhy the Fed expects more bank failuresOf about 4,000 U.S. banks analyzed by the Klaros Group, 282 banks face stress from commercial real estate exposure and higher interest rates. The majority of those banks are categorized as small banks with less than $10 billion in assets. "Most of these banks aren't insolvent or even close to insolvent. They're just stressed," Brian Graham, Klaros co-founder and partner at Klaros. "That means there'll be fewer bank failures.

Persons: They're, Brian Graham, Klaros Organizations: Fed, Klaros

☆ Banks are in limbo without a crucial lifeline. Here's where cracks may appear next
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-19 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +8 min

Most of the banks deemed to be potentially challenged are community lenders with less than $10 billion in assets. These banks need to either raise capital, likely from private equity sources as NYCB did, or merge with stronger banks, Graham said. There are other signs of mounting stress among smaller banks. They ranged in size from $90 billion in assets to under $1 billion, according to Fitch. He predicts a surge in merger activity from lenders between $3 billion and $20 billion in assets as smaller firms look to scale up.

Persons: Klaros, Steven Mnuchin, Brian Graham, Graham, you've, PacWest, Banks, Jerome Powell, Powell, Fitch, Brendan Mcdermid, I've, Chris Caulfield, West, Spencer Stuart, You've, Frank Sorrentino, Stephens, It's, that's, Sorrentino Organizations: Silicon Valley Bank, Federal Reserve, Klaros Group, York Community Bank, ex, Fitch, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Traders, New York Stock Exchange, Reuters, U.S, First Republic, Mercer Capital, Bank, Dominion Bank, Capital, Regulators Locations: Silicon, California, New York City, U.S, Toronto, West Monroe, FirstSun, Seattle

By increasing the degree of risk attributed to certain assets, the proposed rules would require banks to hold proportionately more capital, potentially eating into returns on equity and profits. Making such lending more expensive will shrink credit available to historically under-served borrowers, something the industry is likely to fight, he said. Chen Xu, an attorney in the financial institutions group at Debevoise & Plimpton, said the new rules viewed high-revenue business lines as higher risk. Morgan Stanley (MS.N) analysts say the largest banks may take up to four years to set aside profits to comply with the new capital rules. Dennis Kelleher, head of the financial reform advocacy group Better Markets, said the banking industry had made similar complaints in the past which he believed had proven unfounded.

Persons: Mike Segar, Joe Saas, Chen Xu, Plimpton, Michael Barr, JPMorgan Chase, Jamie Dimon, Wells Fargo, Kevin Stein, Morgan Stanley, Richard Ramsden, Goldman Sachs, Ramsden, Dennis Kelleher, Douglas Gillison, Tatiana Bautzer, Nupur Anand, Saeed Azhar, Megan Davies, Anna Driver Organizations: Wall, New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Industry, Financial Services, Bank Policy Institute, Securities Industry, Financial Markets Association, Debevoise, JPMorgan, CNBC, Citigroup, Bank of America, Klaros Group, Banking Supervision, Better, Thomson Locations: Manhattan, New York City , New York, U.S, Washington, Wells, Basel

☆ The American banking landscape is on the cusp of a seismic shift. Expect more pain to come
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-10 | by ( Hugh Son | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +10 min

But even as the dust settles from a string of government seizures of failed midsized banks, the forces that sparked the regional banking crisis in March are still at play. What is coming will likely be the most significant shift in the American banking landscape since the 2008 financial crisis. JPMorgan shares are up 7.6% this year, while the KBW Regional Banking Index is down more than 20%. Some of those pressures will be visible as regional banks disclose second-quarter results this month. "The fundamental issue with the regional banking system is the underlying business model is under stress," said incoming Lazard CEO Peter Orszag.

Persons: Jamie Dimon, Brian Graham, Banks, KeyCorp, Matt O'Connor, Peter Orszag, SVB, Chris Wolfe, Wolfe, you've, You've, Goldman Sachs, Lazard's Orszag, Orszag, Janet Yellen, Sen, Elizabeth Warren, Klaros, Graham Organizations: First, JPMorgan, Silicon Valley Bank, CNBC, Klaros, Deutsche Bank, Federal Reserve Bank of New, Justice Department Locations: First Republic, Silicon Valley, SVB, KBW, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Republic

Silicon Valley Bank had $209 billion in assets at the end of last year, while Signature Bank had some $110 billion. The failure of Silicon Valley Bank is a direct result of an absurd 2018 bank deregulation bill signed by (Republican former President) Donald Trump that I strongly opposed," Senator Bernie Sanders said in a statement. he added, saying awareness of the bank's recent growth and business model should have led Fed officials to anticipate trouble. In an op-ed for the New York Times, Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren placed some of the blame at the feet of bank regulators, whom she accused of "letting financial institutions load up on risk." "There won't be legislation getting through Congress, and so regulators will be making the big decisions," he said.

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